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Safe Routes to School

Treating Failure with Success

An innovative solution to our energy problem or a floating hunk of health hazard? 

Nuclear power has been the subject of considerable controversy for many decades now, but few nuclear power plants raise as many protests as those designed to float offshore or in the nearby waterways of small cities in hard-to-reach places. 

Nicolai Gontar/Greenpeace

Floating nuclear reactors are starting to see major interest in the Russian Federation, as well as areas of northern Europe, who see them as key energy resources for future development in the Arctic, as climate change continues to melt sea ice and glaciers in the northern latitudes.

Underneath those melting glaciers is a wealth of natural resources that have never even been seen – much less mined – by humans, but a problem remains: how do we build up the infrastructure necessary to exploit these resources. That's where floating nuclear power plants come in.

How do you build a floating nuclear reactor?

Nuclear engineers load the nuclear reactor into Rosenergoatom first floating nuclear power plant, the Akademik Lomonosov Source: Rosenergoatom

First off, a floating nuclear reactor isn't quite as simple as sticking a nuclear reactor on a boat and calling it a day, but it's also not that much more complicated either.

Special ships need to be built to house the reactors, but the idea of a nuclear reactor on a boat is not a new concept in the least. Military submarines and arctic icebreakers are powered by nuclear reactors already, so the idea isn't so much about adding a nuclear reactor to a ship, but more about making the nuclear reactor the whole point of the ship.

This obviously requires different design choices to accommodate the safety equipment as well as the nuclear reactors themselves. But probably the most important element is making it safe from extreme weather events or tsunamis that could sink the ship or otherwise damage it and release radioactive fallout or waste.

Such a circumstance happened in Chernobyl, Ukraine, in 1986, and more recently in Fukushima, Japan, when a 15m-tall tsunami in 2011 disabled the power supply and reactor cooling for three of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant's reactors. Of course, these were ground-based reactors.

How a ship handles those challenges and others, like storing the highly radioactive spent nuclear fuel rods used by the reactor, remain important and open questions.

The Akademik Lomonosov, Russia's first floating nuclear power plant, completed in 2018, is a form of pressurised water reactor that generates heated, high-pressure water which transfers its thermal energy to lower pressure water in a secondary system which also generates steam.

Similar to the nuclear reactors on ships, the issue of radioactive waste is a huge challenge, since it is in the form of radioactive liquid. As a pressurised water reactor, there is also the issue of a potential accident leading to the explosive dispersal of radioactive material into the atmosphere.

Denmark's Seaborg Technologies believes the solution to this is to use a molten salt reactor in its floating nuclear reactor design. Here, fluoride salts mixed with nuclear fuel forms a liquid above 500 °C, letting it flow into and out of a reactor.

Unlike pressurised water reactors, if the reactor chamber is breached somehow – during an accident brought on by a natural disaster, for example – the molten salt doesn't violently explode into steam. Instead, when molten salt is exposed to air, it hardens into a rock, much like lava, which not only contains the radioactive material but also makes handling as disposal much easier.

Molten salt reactors come with their own containment challenges though, especially around corrosion. Hot salts are notoriously corrosive in maritime environments like gas-powered turbines on ships, so building a nuclear reactor with them will require special shielding that can withstand the kind of corrosion that even stainless steel can't withstand.

Why build a floating nuclear reactor?

 

What's the point of a floating nuclear reactor though? Primarily, a floating nuclear reactor is used to provide substantial power for industrial and residential use in remote locations.

The Akademik Lomonosov, for instance, is in use powering the northern Russian town of Pevek, as well as powering a desalinisation plant in the region. Russia has also approved five additional floating nuclear power plants to operate along its northern arctic coastline.

In addition to providing electricity to some of Russia's most isolated communities, these power plants will also provide the power necessary to push development even further north into more pristine, unspoiled arctic areas now being exposed by receding sea ice and glaciers.

Outside of Russia, a floating nuclear reactor could be used to help power regions of the world where electricity is scarce or non-existent, as well as help power disaster-hit regions as they recover.

The United States operated a floating nuclear power plant in the Panama Canal in the 1960s and early 1970s, though that was not nearly as ambitious as what others, like Seaborg Technologies and Russia's Rosenergoatom, propose.

Seaborg Technologies design for floating nuclear power plants. Source: Seaborg Technologies/Facebook

Seaborg Technologies hopes to eventually produce hundreds of floating nuclear power plants every year, claiming that these reactors will offset 33,600,000 tons of carbon dioxide, at a minimum, over the life of the reactor when compared to a similarly sized coal power plant.

"The world needs energy, but we also need to decarbonise," says Troels Schönfeldt, Seaborg co-founder and CEO. "With a highly competitive product, using existing production capacity, we can deploy hundreds of reactors every year – we are geared for global impact,"

That decarbonisation goal is a vital one, without question, and even some otherwise pro-environment policy advocates say that decarbonising the economy to combat climate is impossible without increased nuclear energy production.

As others point out though, building safe nuclear power takes a great deal of time – something we are pretty much out of when it comes to averting climate change – so putting our climate hopes in nuclear power to save us may be effectively moot.

What are the limitations of floating nuclear reactors?

Starting with the obvious, floating nuclear reactors can only be used where there is sufficient water for them to float, so either in the open ocean or in sufficiently wide waterways like large rivers.

If more isolated interior regions aren't connected to the same power grid as the coastal region that a floating nuclear power plant is connected to, then it won't be much help to them.

This would be especially frustrating if the purpose of a floating nuclear power plant was to provide energy to a disaster-hit region, where disruptions in the power grid must be expected – if a local grid even existed in the first place.

In 2017, Hurricane Maria devastated the US territory of Puerto Rico, knocking out power for months in some areas of the island. The problem here wasn't so much that a power plant had been knocked offline for this entire time, but that Maria had torn down power lines all across the island. 

Power was only officially restored to all of Puerto Rico's residents in March 2019, almost two full years after Maria had struck the island. This kind of infrastructure challenge isn't something that a floating nuclear power plant could have fixed, and their utility in other disaster areas would be likewise limited.

What are the risks associated with floating nuclear reactors?

 

The biggest issue on the horizon for floating nuclear power plants is the same one that confronts any nuclear power plant: what are the risks associated with it?

Proponents of nuclear power are quick to point out that nuclear power actually has a fantastic safety record, considering how many nuclear power plants there are in service around the world. And there is definitely something to be said for this, in context.

There are only 443 currently operating nuclear reactors in the world right now, so when assessing the risk of a nuclear accident, you have to consider the size of the sample pool you are considering. If you flip a coin once and it lands on heads, you cannot use that to say coin flips never come up tails.

There have been 190 nuclear power plants decommissioned around the world as of April 2021, with the total number of commercial nuclear power plants that are currently operable at arbout 449. There have been a number of major high-profile nuclear accidents, including the 1957 Kyshtym Nuclear Disaster, Three Mile Island, Chernobyl, and Fukushima.

After the Fukushima disaster, researchers analysed all past core-melt accidents and estimated a failure rate of 1 per 3704 reactor (operation) years. The results also suggested that there are likely to be more severe nuclear accidents than have been expected.

Princeton University nuclear expert Harold A. Feiveson wrote that although nuclear power plants have become very reliable, “even if the chance of a severe accident were, say, one in a million per reactor year, a future nuclear capacity of 1,000 reactors worldwide would be faced with a 1% chance of such an accident each 10-year period – low perhaps, but not negligible considering the consequences”. 

And the consequences of that accident are as outsized as the nuclear power plant's benefits are when it's functioning properly. Nuclear power is an unquestionably high-risk-high-reward proposition, even when the absolute number of nuclear accidents remains small.

As environmental activist group Greenpeace points out, a nuclear accident in the Arctic from a floating nuclear power plant would be potentially catastrophic.

"Nuclear reactors bobbing around the Arctic Ocean will pose a shockingly obvious threat to a fragile environment which is already under enormous pressure from climate change," said Jan Haverkamp, nuclear expert for Greenpeace Central and Eastern Europe, in response to the completed construction of the Akademik Lomonosov in 2018.

Deputy director of Rosenergoatom, Sergey Zavylov, told the BBC in 2010 that "these [floating nuclear power stations] have very good potential, creating the conditions for exploring the Arctic shelf and setting up drilling platforms to extract oil and gas. Work in the Arctic is very complicated and dangerous and we should ensure there's a reliable energy supply."

"We can guarantee the safety of our units one hundred percent," Zavylov added, "all risks are absolutely ruled out."

 

As for extreme weather events and tsunamis, floating nuclear power plant proponents insist that these vessels will withstand these events, but not only has that yet to be demonstrated, it doesn't seem at all likely that they could guarantee this, at least not the ones we've seen produced already.

"The floating nuclear power plants will typically be put to use near coastlines and shallow water. Contrary to claims regarding safety, the flat-bottomed hull and the [Akademik Lomonosov]’s lack of self-propulsion makes it particularly vulnerable to tsunamis and cyclones," Greenpeace's Haverkamp said.

It is important to remember that hurricanes and tsunamis out in open seas can be dangerous, but they are far less so than along coastlines, where the displaced water runs into often-populated coastal areas, leading to massive storm surges and worse. Any floating nuclear power plant will be just as vulnerable to these forces as any other large vessel along a coastline.

While this might not be a major concern in northern Russia, several nations in Africa, South America, and Asia have expressed interest in floating nuclear power plants in the past, and interest is only likely to grow as Russia and others start mass producing them.

At least, until there are accidents, and there will certainly be accidents when you produce a substantial number of these floating nuclear power plants. Flip that proverbial coin a thousand times and the true risk of these floating nuclear power plants will come into much sharper focus than it is now.

Ultimately, the actual risk that floating nuclear power plants pose is not known since we simply don't have enough of a sample size to definitively measure it, though that's actually a good thing. Having lots of data points of past nuclear accidents and what caused them isn't the kind of thing anybody wants to see, but for most of us, that might be out of our hands.

As the rush to exploit the Arctic heats up in the coming decades, powering the drilling and mining operations in the Arctic, and providing electricity and clean water to those work them, is going to be an increasing priority for those nations with claims on Arctic resources.

As drinking water becomes more scarce in the Global South, desalinisation plants are going to be essential to keeping an unfathomable number of people alive, and so even with the risks of nuclear accidents, the risks of dying of thirst are going to be much more immediate for many.

Mass-produced floating nuclear power plants may very well be the wave of the future, whether we like it or not.

How do floating nuclear power plants work?

Research into cycling road traffic collisions has identified a list of common collision scenarios for Ireland and underlined previously underappreciated issues on our roads.

Among other things, the research shows the importance of studying single-cyclist collisions (those involving no other road user) – with poor road surface conditions (slippery road surfaces, debris, or potholes), LUAS (tram) tracks, and kerbs highlighted as being commonly involved in such incidents.

A number of key findings emerged from a detailed analysis that used self-reported collision data. The researchers behind the study found that garda and hospital data paint an incomplete picture of the cyclist safety problem.

Roughly 75% of respondents involved in injurious collisions did not report the incident to the gardai. Furthermore, the findings indicate that many lower severity injuries do not appear in hospital data. The data coverage and underreporting issues highlighted in this study are not unique to Ireland – internationally, injury prevention efforts are transitioning from a focus on fatalities and serious injuries to include less severe collisions.

Key findings

  • Single-cyclist collisions (those involving no other road user) are very common in Ireland, and they are the least likely collision type to be reported to the gardai with fewer than 4% reported
  • Loss of tyre traction due to slippery road conditions, and interactions with LUAS (tram) tracks, kerbs, and potholes are key factors
  • Single-cyclist collisions often have more than one contributory factor
  • For collisions with bonnet-type vehicles (eg cars), nearside (left)-hook, vehicle lane changing, and overtaking manoeuvres are common
  • Impacts with vehicle sides and doors are also common

Kevin Gildea, PhD candidate in Trinity’s School of Engineering, is the first author of the research, which has just been published in the journal Accident Analysis and Prevention

He said: “The study highlights in particular the high prevalence of collisions in urban environments preceded by the cyclist and vehicle travelling in the same direction, such as vehicle overtaking/passing or lane changing, or left-hooks at intersections, highlighting the need for safety interventions both along roadways and at intersections.

"Dooring collisions also pose a high risk for cyclists, highlighting the need for educational campaigns – like Dutch Reach – and automated vehicle safety systems to reduce their occurrence.

"For single cyclist collisions, the study highlights how common falls involving poor road surfaces, involving slippery road surfaces, debris, and potholes, LUAS/tram tracks, and kerbs are.

"The findings for tram tracks are particularly striking, considering the fact that they are only present on certain sections of the road network in Dublin city. These findings highlight the importance of road/cycle lane maintenance efforts, and infrastructural interventions to improve the forgivingness of road furniture, particularly around tram tracks, and kerbs – especially at locations where cyclists are expected to enter/exit cycle lanes or interact with tracks.

“Although a number of the scenarios that we have identified were previously known to pose risks to cyclists in Ireland, and good work has been done to reduce their risks – through educational campaigns and infrastructural interventions – this work adds context and has allowed us to identify a list of priority representative cyclist collision scenarios for Ireland.

"The findings are particularly relevant to road safety bodies and road infrastructural planners and should also have good use in the fields of injury biomechanics, and automated vehicle safety.”

Furthermore, the researchers underline that the scale of the underreporting problem highlighted in this study (for cyclist collisions in particular) adds to the importance that road safety stakeholders make increased efforts to address cyclist safety issues.

Safety-in-numbers effect

Internationally, efforts are transitioning from a focus on fatal and serious injuries to include less severe collisions, which merit investigation due to their high frequency, often long-term effects, and because they discourage cycling, which in turn reduces modal share and safety via the safety-in-numbers effect.

Due to the self-reporting nature of the study these results do not include fatal cyclist collisions. The researchers are currently extending their analysis to include fatalities.

Ciaran Simms, professor in Trinity’s School of Engineering, supervised the research. He added: “I am delighted that the Road Safety Authority has funded this research into cyclist safety in Ireland.

“Common collision scenarios vary between countries and cycling environments, but in this study, we designed a detailed coding scheme to characterise single-cyclist collisions which can also act as a basis for identifying common collision scenarios in other countries.

“In addition, we are now keen to shed further light on the cause(s) and frequency of single-cyclist collisions in Ireland – because our findings have highlighted their importance and because they have not been well investigated in the past. We will also work to investigate cyclist interactions and falls on tram tracks in Dublin – which played a role in 23% of the single-cyclist falls in our data.”

The research reported here was funded by the Road Safety Authority’s RSA-Helena Winters Scholarship for Studies in Road Safety.

The full research paper can be read and downloaded here.

Left-hooks, doorings, poor road surface conditions, LUAS tracks and kerbs often involved in Irish cycling collisions

Firm has developed a novel software solution using artificial intelligence to transform the success rates of new drug development. 

BioSimulytics (www.biosimulytics.ai), a University College Dublin (UCD) spin-out company, has announced that it has secured €595,000 in initial seed funding from a number of strategic angel investors and Enterprise Ireland. The NovaUCD-headquartered company is focused on using artificial intelligence (AI) to digitise key steps in how new drug molecules are designed and developed.

AI, machine learning, computational chemistry, quantum physics and high-performance computing

BioSimulytics has developed a novel software solution, using a powerful combination of AI, machine learning, computational chemistry, quantum physics and high-performance computing (HPC), to drive smarter, faster, and more cost-effective R&D processes in the design and development of new drugs.

The company’s software enables the pharma industry to advance potential molecules to approved medicines quicker and with a much greater probability of success.

BioSimulytics, which has already secured its first commercial contract with a major pharma company in Europe, and signed evaluation agreements with several others for industrial evaluation, will use the funding to support the growth of its product development team and client base and plans to complete a Series A funding round within the next 18-24 months.

In the pharma industry it can take between $2-3 billion and over a decade to bring new drug molecules, which are manufactured in their solid-state crystal structure, to market with only a very limited (~1%) chance of success.

One of the complicating factors in the drug development process is polymorphism, the ability of a compound to exist in more than one stable crystalline structure. Drug molecules are complex compounds which can have hundreds of stable structures, and a polymorph may change to a more thermodynamically stable form hours, weeks and even years later depending on conditions.

Different drug polymorphs can have different properties such as solubility, toxicity, and efficacy. It is therefore vital for pharma companies to fully understand the polymorphic landscape of their drug molecules, required also for regulatory compliance and patent protection, and to have absolute certainty about identifying and reproducing the most stable crystal structure of any new drug before bringing it to market for patient use.

Experimental techniques which are the current state-of-the-art for identifying the most stable polymorph of a new drug molecule, are slow and arduous manual processes, which can take six months or more to complete and with potentially uncertain results. 

BioSimulytics’ unique software solution only requires the basic 2D structure of a molecule to accurately predict the full polymorphic landscape of that molecule and to rank the most stable crystal structures of the molecule, within a matter of weeks. This provides pharma companies with far greater accuracy and certainty in the development process of new drugs, avoiding potentially very costly mistakes such as those cases in recent decades where polymorph problems have forced the pharma companies involved to pull their drugs from the market resulting in multimillion-dollar losses.

BioSimulytics was founded in 2019 by Professor Niall English, Dr Christian Burnham, and Peter Doyle as a spin-out from the UCD School of Chemical and Bioprocess Engineering following the completion of Enterprise Ireland Commercialisation Funding.

Peter Doyle, CEO, BioSimulytics said: “We are delighted to have secured this seed funding which will help us to expand our team here in Ireland and grow our client base in the EU and US markets.

'Dramatically transforming pharma value chain'

“The successful development of COVID-19 vaccines over the last 18 months demonstrates the powerful role that new digital AI and HPC-based technologies play in dramatically transforming the pharma value chain. BioSimulytics’ goal is to be a key player in this rapidly expanding global market within the next few years.

“As a follow-on to this seed round we plan to complete a multimillion-euro Series A funding round within the next 18 to 24 months following the full industrial validation of our technology.”

Alan Hobbs, manager, High Potential Start-Ups (Life Sciences and Industrial) at Enterprise Ireland said: “BioSimulytics is a great example of a world-class High Potential Start-Up driving innovative solutions to support the design and development of new drugs and we are delighted to support the company and to be part of this investment round.” 

“We wish Peter and all the team every success with this exciting new phase of development for the company and look forward to continuing to work with them to achieve their ambitious plans for the future.”

BioSimulytics was the overall winner of the 2019 UCD VentureLaunch Accelerator Programme run by NovaUCD. In addition, the company was a finalist in the 2020 The Institution of Chemical Engineers (IChemE) Global Awards, widely considered as the world’s most prestigious chemical engineering awards.

 

UCD spin-out BioSimulytics secures €595,000 in seed funding

The north's economy minister, Gordon Lyons, has announced 120 jobs for Northern Ireland during a visit to a new manufacturing facility set up by Tribe Technology.

Minerals industry

Based in Perth, Australia, Tribe Technology designs, manufactures and sells autonomous drill rigs to the minerals industry. It is opening a new design and manufacturing facility at Enterprise Way Mallusk. 

'We are pleased to have been able to support and secure such a pioneering manufacturing project for Northern Ireland.' Anne Beggs, director of trade and investment, Invest NI

Minister Lyons said: “Northern Ireland has a diverse advanced manufacturing and engineering sector which, in recent years, has grown almost three times faster than the rest of the UK. I am delighted to welcome Tribe Technology to this vibrant and highly sophisticated sector. 

L-R: Gordon Lyons, economy minister with Anne Beggs, director of trade and investment, Invest NI and Charlie King, managing mirector, Tribe Technology

“Tribe Technology plans to create 120 engineering jobs over the next five years. These roles offer the opportunity to be involved in developing and manufacturing innovative new drilling systems, as well as attractive salaries. Once all the roles are in place this investment will generate in excess of £3 million in annual salaries to the NI economy.”

The Department for the Economy unveiled its '10X economy' vision in May. It is centred on the ability of innovation to deliver a 10 times better economy with benefits for all our people.

The minister said: “Using innovative technologies and methodologies for improved competitiveness is central to continued success in manufacturing. This is exactly what Tribe Technology is doing for the mining industry.

'Smart autonomous drilling system'

"The work it plans to do here in Northern Ireland is highly innovative – designing and manufacturing a new, smart autonomous drilling system for the mineral industry. I have very much enjoyed my visit to the new facility and meeting the first members of the team starting work on this exciting project.”

Charlie King, managing director of Tribe Technology, is a Northern Ireland native, originally from Crossgar.

'We took to decision to locate the manufacturing in Northern Ireland as there is a wealth of heavy manufacturing industrial expertise here.' Charlie King, Managing Director, Tribe Technology

He said: “I have spent more than a decade working in the contract drilling industry in Australia. We identified the opportunity to develop an innovative new product which will revolutionise the drill rig industry for the global minerals industry. Tribe Technology will remove all operators from the dangers of drilling operations, reduce drilling costs and increase drilling uptime.

“This new drilling system will be manufactured in our new Belfast manufacturing facility here at Enterprise Way Mallusk, and then shipped to our first customers in Western Australia and later globally. We took to decision to locate the manufacturing in Northern Ireland as there is a wealth of heavy manufacturing industrial expertise here.

“It is great to finally see the new factory up and running and work well under way to manufacturing these new rigs. Even though we are just getting started we have already recruited 14 people to the team already. The market demand for our technology has been outstanding and we look forward to ramping up to full production capacity ahead of schedule.”

Invest Northern Ireland has been working with Tribe Technology since late 2019, showcasing what Northern Ireland has to offer. The agency has also offered £984,000 of support towards 82 of the jobs.

Anne Beggs, director of trade and investment, Invest NI, said: “There are about 2,200 advanced manufacturing, materials and engineering companies in Northern Ireland involved in a wide variety of activities. This project by Tribe, however, is a new area of manufacturing for Northern Ireland."

 

Australian drill rig manufacturer Tribe Technology creates 120 engineering jobs in Northern Ireland

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