EirGrid recently published its energy scenarios summary document, Tomorrow’s Energy Scenarios 2017, which details its plans for the future development of the transmission grid. The four scenarios outlined in the publication describe different possible futures for the generation and consumption of electricity out to 2040 and are key to encouraging a flexible and robust approach to grid development.
The scenarios will be reviewed every two years to take into account changes in the industry and energy environment.
“Tomorrow’s Energy Scenarios 2017 has actually became a very big focal point for the industry, and it wasn’t intended to be,” said Marie Hayden, manager of scenario planning at EirGrid, said of the report’s origins. “It was intended to help us with our grid development and ensure we had a reasonable range of assumptions about the future.
“However, it seems that everybody is treating it as a reference document because it really looks at the range of wind, the range of solar, the range of data centres and puts all the information into one place. You don’t get that information anywhere else.
“We know other organisations – such as renewable energy investors, data centres and people with an interest in climate change – are using the document to help them understand the landscape of the future,” Hayden added.
The scenarios are headed ‘Steady Evolution’, ‘Low Carbon Living’, ‘Slow Change’ and ‘Consumer Action’, considering issues such as population growth, economic growth, climate effects and energy-efficiency measures. The potential electrification of heating is a factor, along with changes in consumer behaviour.